Like/Tweet/+1
Latest topics
» Now listening to . . .
by Sary Yesterday at 21:36

» What wi-fi would look like if we could see it
by OsricPearl Sun 15 Jul - 0:12

» Nationalist Artwork
by Jehan I Sat 14 Jul - 20:40

» Reincarnation
by Neon Knight Fri 13 Jul - 0:19

» Ronnie James Dio Appreciation Thread
by Neon Knight Thu 12 Jul - 21:47

» 700,000 migrants wait in Libya to cross the Med
by Neon Knight Tue 10 Jul - 23:42

» Austrian identitarians go on trial
by OsricPearl Tue 10 Jul - 20:42

» Project to put Sadiq Khan balloon over London
by Neon Knight Sun 8 Jul - 22:01

» Monty Python Scenes & Sketches
by Sary Sat 7 Jul - 23:52

» Beautiful Feminine Art
by Sary Fri 6 Jul - 1:02

» Old Film Trailers
by Neon Knight Sun 1 Jul - 22:30

» Dr. Asperger is believed to have sent many children to their deaths
by Sary Sat 30 Jun - 0:57

» Personality traits linked to political orientation
by Neon Knight Fri 29 Jun - 12:41

» I wrote a book
by OsricPearl Thu 28 Jun - 22:09

» Song Cover-Versions & Originals
by Neon Knight Tue 26 Jun - 21:58

» Does France have a wolf problem?
by OsricPearl Tue 26 Jun - 3:30

» New & Recent Film Trailers (2010 +)
by Neon Knight Sun 24 Jun - 22:16

» Fishing tribe evolved for deep water diving
by Neon Knight Sat 23 Jun - 23:20

» Favourite Film Scenes
by OsricPearl Sat 23 Jun - 22:42

» Hungary Refuses to Sign Migration Declaration
by Neon Knight Wed 20 Jun - 8:31

» Steam tells the SJW's to Stuff it.
by frankhammer Tue 19 Jun - 16:41

» New exhibition of JRR Tolkien's art in Oxford
by Sary Tue 19 Jun - 0:40

» Chinese village reclaimed by nature
by Sary Sat 16 Jun - 22:21

» 42% support for a united Ireland in Northern Ireland
by Neon Knight Fri 15 Jun - 21:04

» Austria’s Kurz wants ‘axis of willing’ against illegal migration
by OsricPearl Fri 15 Jun - 3:04

» How will morality change in future?
by OsricPearl Thu 14 Jun - 3:12

» Sharing 'hate' posts online could mean six months in prison
by Neon Knight Mon 11 Jun - 21:20

» The World Rule of Law Index
by Neon Knight Fri 8 Jun - 19:25

» Confusing Victims with Heroes
by Sary Tue 5 Jun - 22:46

» Whispering Iceland
by Neon Knight Tue 5 Jun - 0:08

» WWII re-enacment scrapped for fear of causing offence
by Neon Knight Sun 3 Jun - 16:36

» Faith J Goldy demonstrates double standard on race
by Sary Sat 2 Jun - 1:19

» Tommy Robinson
by OsricPearl Thu 31 May - 18:57

» What happens when the oil runs out?
by Neon Knight Sun 27 May - 22:44

» Quizzes android application about Europe
by Jehan I Sun 27 May - 17:51

» When is the brain fully developed?
by Neon Knight Sun 27 May - 10:56

» 'No more than 1,000 new Danish citizenships annually': DF as law change talks begin
by OsricPearl Sat 26 May - 3:33

» Huntswoman thrashes saboteur with a riding crop
by OsricPearl Tue 22 May - 14:49

» Snowflake parents changing 'politically incorrect' fairytales
by de Burgh Mon 21 May - 1:42

» Count Dankula's Court Hearings
by Neon Knight Sun 20 May - 22:43


Higher temperatures linked to EU asylum figures

Reply to topic

View previous topic View next topic Go down

Higher temperatures linked to EU asylum figures

Post Neon Knight on Wed 3 Jan - 21:46

http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-42446085

Sharp increases in the numbers of those seeking asylum in the European Union have been linked to higher temperatures in agricultural regions of the world. Researchers found that when temperatures deviated from 20C in food growing areas of 103 countries, more people sought refuge abroad. Around 660,000 extra applicants would be expected each year by 2100, the authors say, if current temperature trends continue. The study appears in Science journal.

Between 2000 and 2014, around 350,000 people applied for asylum in the European Union every year. The majority came from countries such as Afghanistan and Iraq. n this study, researchers examine these numbers and assess the role of what they call "weather shocks" in pushing people to seek asylum. The authors find that the numbers increase if the temperatures in the 103 countries they looked at were too warm or too cold. Warmer temperatures, defined as being above 20C, were seen as having a bigger impact.

The researchers found "a highly statistically significant relationship" between the number of asylum applications logged by the EU and average temperatures in the maize growing regions in countries like Pakistan. The authors believe that too much heat especially, depresses yields, damages national GDP and increases aggressive behaviours. The study also found that the weather-induced spikes in applications translated into roughly three times higher acceptance rates by the EU in the two years following an event.

Looking ahead to the rest of this century, the authors predict that if temperature rises linked to climate change are limited to 1.8C above pre-industrial levels, then applications would increase by 28%. However if carbon emissions continue at their present rate and temperatures rise by up to 4.8C, then applications could rise by 188%, meaning an extra 660,000 seeking refuge each year.

However Prof Schlenker says that he was far less confident about the future impacts of rising temperatures and asylum numbers in the EU. "We basically have to assume that the relationship we uncovered between 2000 and 2014 is going to remain unchanged for the next 80 years," he said. "There are many reasons for why it could go either way. We could start adapting to warmer temperatures, so the impacts would be less, but if you shock people every year with the same thing, it could be much worse. We could be under or overestimating the effects."

The study follows on from other research that found a connection between conflict and temperature. A 2015 study showed that climate change made drought in Syria two to three times more likely, and that this was a catalyst for the 2011 uprising. The author of that research says the new study linking asylum to temperatures is an important step.

"It's unclear how much more warming will occur between now and the end of the century, but the study clearly demonstrates just how much climate change acts as a threat multiplier," said Colin Kelley, a climate scientists at Columbia. "Wealthier countries can expect to feel the direct and indirect effects of weather shocks from manmade climate change in poorer, less resilient countries."

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Between the velvet lies, there's a truth that's hard as steel
The vision never dies, life's a never ending wheel
- R.J.Dio
avatar
Neon Knight
The Castellan

Male Posts : 982
Join date : 2017-03-05

http://castle-europa.forumotion.com

Back to top Go down

View previous topic View next topic Back to top

- Similar topics

Permissions in this forum:
You can reply to topics in this forum